Consumer Confidence Surges on Hopes for the Future
Consumers’ assessment of current conditions posted a moderate decline. Expectations regarding the short-term turned more favorable as last month’s financial markets turmoil appears to have abated.
NEW YORK CITY – March 30, 2016 – The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index improved in March after falling a bit in February. The Index now stands at 96.2 – up 2.2 points from 94.0 in February.
The Present Situation Index declined moderately from 115.0 to 113.5, while the Expectations Index that gauges attitudes about the short-term future increased from 79.9 to 84.7 in March.
"Consumers' assessment of current conditions posted a moderate decline, while expectations regarding the short-term turned more favorable as last month's turmoil in the financial markets appears to have abated," says Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at The Conference Board. "On balance, consumers do not foresee the economy gaining any significant momentum in the near-term, nor do they see it worsening."
Consumers saying business conditions were currently "good" decreased from 26.5 percent to 24.9 percent. However, those saying business conditions are "bad" edged down from 19.0 percent to 18.8 percent.
Appraisal of the labor market was mixed. Those claiming jobs are "plentiful" increased from 22.8 percent to 25.4 percent, while those claiming jobs are "hard to get" also rose to 26.6 percent from 23.6 percent.
Consumers were more optimistic about the short-term outlook than in February. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months increased moderately from 14.5 percent to 15.0 percent, while those expecting business conditions to worsen decreased from 11.6 percent to 9.2 percent.
Consumers' outlook for the labor market was also more favorable over the short-term future. Those anticipating more jobs in the months ahead increased slightly from 12.2 percent to 12.9 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs decreased from 17.7 percent to 16.3 percent.
The proportion of consumers expecting their incomes to increase declined moderately from 17.7 percent to 17.2 percent, while the proportion expecting a reduction in income edged up from 11.6 percent to 11.8 percent.
The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a probability-design random sample and conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen. The cutoff date was March 17.
© 2016 Florida Realtors®. All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission.
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