Flagler, Volusia and St Johns Counties Show Strong Population Gains

An average of 8.5 new residents moved to Flagler County each day between July 1, 2015 and July 1, 2016. That’s more than one person per day greater than the previous year.

PALM COAST, FL – March 23, 2017 – The U. S. Census Bureau released today its County and Metro/Micro Area Population Estimates showing estimated population as of July 1, 2016. The Deltona – Daytona Beach – Ormond Beach Metro Area (which includes all of Flagler and Volusia counties) grew by 2.3% between July 1, 2015 and July 1, 2016, making it the 21st fastest-growing metro area in the country.

Ten of the country’s 25 fastest-growing metro areas were in Florida, led by #1, The Villages with a 4.3% growth rate.

Flagler County added 3,122 new residents, a 3% (2.968%) increase during the period between July 1, 2015 and July 1, 2016. The county’s population is estimated to have been 108,310 on July 1, 2016.

Volusia added 11,174 residents, a 2.16 % yearly gain, bringing its estimated population to 529,368 on July 1, 2016. The previous year’s gain was 2.0%

St Johns County, Flagler’s neighbor to the north, added 8,429 new residents, a 3.7% increase during the measurement period vs 3.9% the previous year. St Johns July1, 2016 population stood at 235,087.

Population Growth - Flagler, Volusia and St Johns counties 2015 - 2016

Population Growth to Fuel Housing Shortage and Real Estate Price Increases

Flagler’s accelerating growth rate coincides with the disappearance of distressed properties (short sales and foreclosures) locally. Distressed properties represented only 5.7% of all single-family Flagler homes sold through MLS in February and only 3.2% of the total value of homes sold.

Assuming an unchanged 3% growth rate, Flagler County will add another 3,250 residents by July 1, 2017. That growth represents a demand for roughly 1,400 to 1,500 new residential housing units; homes, condos or apartments.

Only 780 single-family building permits were issued in Flagler County in 2016. There were no permits for condos or apartments. Year-to-date, 176 building permits have been issued, projecting a shortfall this year of 600 to 800 housing units.

With practically no vacant distressed homes available, the pressure rests solely on new construction to satisfy the need for new housing. To the extent that new construction does not fulfill the need, home and rental prices are likely to rise. Nationally and locally, builders are suffering from a shortage of skilled labor in the building trades, a problem that is not likely to be solved soon.

2 replies
  1. Paula
    Paula says:

    More residents to vote against those in the pocket

    Glad to hear this. There will be even more residents to vote out Travis Hutson, and other so-called representatives who are allowing the short-term rental industry to control them.


  2. Kevin
    Kevin says:

    Paradise lost

    While some may rejoice at the news that our area is experiencing exponential population growth. Business owners and government officials may see dollar signs as a positive benefit of this trend but anyone who loves the quality of life in this less congested, less developed region should be concerned with the adverse impacts. Residential development seldom generates the needed tax revenue to cover the added cost of services. Our infrastructure (roads, bridges, schools, police, fire, etc) will all need upgrades and larger budgets. More concerning than the financial pressures and subsequent tax increases for all will be the deterioration of our quality of life. Basic daily routines will be less tolerable. Commuting times will be longer, parking will be more of a premium and public venues such as beaches and parks will be crowded and congested. Anyone who has visited other coastal communities of Florida has likely experienced what can be expected to develop here. Our only hope is for citizens to get more involved now to control development and not allow our public officials to tolertate developers who try to define retention ponds as part of a development’s open space thereby creating greater density. It is time to say enough and take control of our destiny.

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