Entries by Lawrence Yun

The Widening Gap between New and Existing Home Prices

Though construction workers’ wages have not changed in the past four years (stuck at $38 per hour on average), the costs of construction materials have been rising. Palm Coast, FL – September 13, 2011 – The price of newly constructed homes refuses to budge downwards.  After hitting the cyclical low of $204,000 in October of […]

Natural Population Growth Equals Future Housing Demand

The current home sales activity is matching levels seen 12 years ago, yet the total population has increased by more than 30 million since then. Palm Coast, FL – September 10, 2011 – The current home sales activity is matching levels seen 12 years ago, yet the total population has increased by more than 30 […]

Taking Care of ”Small” Business

The second half GDP growth rate is expected to be less than 2 percent. Palm Coast, FL – August 25, 2011 – The economy is barely crawling along. A recent sizable downward revision to GDP figures showed that the current economic activity – adding up all income generation from producing autos to providing hair cuts […]

Riots and Revolutions

Does homeownership reduce strife and civil disobedience? Palm Coast, FL – August 19, 2011 – REALTORS® build communities and hence are naturally one of the strongest protectors of communities and property rights. With this in mind, it was very disconcerting to see—even for a few days—hooligans smashing properties and controlling the streets of London and […]

Housing Affordability High

Housing affordability will be at its highest in a generation this year. Palm Coast, FL – August 17, 2011 – The affordability index is comprised of median home prices, median family income, and the prevailing mortgage rate. An index of 100 implies that a median income family has just enough income to buy a median […]

Natural Equilibrium Home Prices

In the long run, prices will be mostly determined by supply, particularly from the cost of construction and land prices. Palm Coast, FL – July 26, 2011 – In the short run, home prices will be strictly determined by demand.  Supply cannot be brought in line in a short time-frame.  It takes time to get […]

A Mixed Bag for Housing Data

The worst in housing looks to be over. The question now is about the degree of strength in such a housing recovery. Palm Coast, FL – July 18, 2011 – We had better than decent news on housing in June. Pending contracts on existing homes bounced back solidly – implying much improved activity in the […]

The New Homes vs Existing Homes Markets

One area where messages get mixed relates to the media coverage of new home sales versus existing home sales. Palm Coast, FL – June 23, 2011 – The housing market has been providing mixed messages lately.  Relatively good news is spouted by the media one day, followed by bad news the next.  From home prices […]

Suddenly Summer?

Jobs were being created, but perhaps not in the industries that generate the big bucks. Palm Coast, FL – June 16, 2011 – It’s not yet summer, but almost. This time of year – the “transitional” one between late spring and real summer (when all the kids are home from school) – has seen some […]

Homes: Rent or Buy?

The affordability index has been bouncing around in the 180 to 200 range since the beginning of this year – the highest reading since the index was first used in 1971. Palm Coast, FL – June 9, 2011 – The cliché says that there has never been a better time to buy.  The hard data […]