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Tampa, Orlando, Jacksonville Near Top of ‘Likely to Move’ List

ATTOM Data Solutions' Q2 2018 Pre-Mover Housing Index finds that Chicago, Washington, D.C., Orlando, Tampa-St. Petersburg and Atlanta posted the highest pre-mover index in the second quarter of 2018.

By Toby Tobin

IRVINE, Calif. – Aug. 21, 2018 – ATTOM Data Solutions' Q2 2018 Pre-Mover Housing Index finds that Chicago, Washington, D.C., OrlandoTampa-St. Petersburg and Atlanta posted the highest pre-mover index in the second quarter of 2018 in the larger-metro category. ATTOM says a high score is "predictive of a high percentage of homeowners moving in the third quarter."

ATTOM's quarterly report looks at 36 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) with at least 500,000 single-family homes and condos using data collected from purchase loan applications on residential real estate transactions.

The Pre-Mover Housing Index is based on the ratio of homes with a "pre-mover" indicator compared to total single-family homes and condos in a given geography, indexed off the national average. An index above 100 is above the national average and indicates an above-average ratio of homes that will likely be sold in the next 90 days in a given market.

Among a broader set of 131 metro areas with at least 100,000 single family homes and condos, those posting the highest pre-mover index in Q2 2018 were Wilmington, N.C. (206); Colorado Springs, Colo. (178); and Manchester-Nashua, N.H. (172); followed by Chicago (168) and Washington, D.C. (166).

"A higher pre-mover index bodes well for local real estate agents, home improvement stores, moving companies and others that benefit from the halo effect of a home sale," said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions.

"Meanwhile markets with a low pre-mover index likely have a scarcity of inventory available to buy or relatively weak demand from prospective buyers – or some combination of both – which is not optimal for businesses that rely on the home sale halo effect," Blomquist adds.

ATTOM has a pre-mover heat map on its website that displays the likelihood of home sales by city.

States with the highest pre-mover index in the second quarter of 2018 – predictive of a high percentage of homeowners moving in the third quarter – were North Dakota (275), Illinois (193), Nevada (164), Virginia (163), and Colorado (147). Other states with a pre-mover index among the 10 highest in Q2 2018 were New Jersey (133), Florida (133), Delaware (130), Maryland (127), and Utah (124).

Florida metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) ranked by pre-mover index ranking

  • Orlando-Kissimmee: 136
  • Jacksonville: 136
  • Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater: 133
  • Lakeland-Winter Haven: 126
  • Ocala: 109
  • Port St. Lucie: 100
  • Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville: 95
  • Cape Coral-Fort Myers: 91
  • Deltona-Dayton Beach-Ormond Beach (consisting of all of Volusia and FLAGLER Counties): 90
  • Bradenton-Sarasota-Venice: 87
  • Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach: 85
  • Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent: 65
  • Fort Walton Beach-Crestview-Destin: 58
  • Naples-Marco Island: 53

 © 2018 Florida Realtors®. All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission.


Toby Tobin: REALTOR®, SRES®

I am a REALTOR® licensed by the State of Florida and Seniors Real Estate Specialist, SRES®, with Grand Living Realty, where 'The GoToby Team'  helps fellow aged 50+ buyers and sellers achieve improved outcomes in real estate transactions by integrating real estate decisions with other age-related decisions/plans through my broad network of respected service providers; financial, wills, trusts, probate, insurance, healthcare, home services, recreation, lifestyle, estate planning, and adult living facilities.

Take advantage of my "Been there. Done that." experience, typically at no additional cost to you. Call me at (386) 931-7124 or email me at Toby@GoToby.com.

Be sure to listen to my radio show, Real Estate Mattersevery Saturday morning right after the 11:00 A.M. news break on WNZF News Radio (1550 AM or 94.9 FM). Download the Flagler Radio App from the App Store so you can hear Real Estate Matters anywhere in the world.

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Don "Toby" Tobin is a licensed real estate professional affiliated with Grand Living Realty. Toby is a member of the Flagler County Association of Realtors®, the Florida Association of Realtors, Enterprise Flagler, Flagler Home Builders Association, and the National Association of Realtors.

GoToby.com proivdes real estate news, commentary, and analysis for Palm Coast and Flagler Country Florida, as well as Realtor® referrals and consultation to buyers, sellers, and developers.