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Builder Confidence in 55+ Housing Down from Record High

Builder confidence in the single-family 55+ housing market dropped five points to 66 in the first quarter of 2018, according to the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) 55+ Housing Market Ind

By Toby Tobin

WASHINGTON – May 4, 2018 –Builder confidence in the single-family 55+ housing market dropped five points to 66 in the first quarter of 2018, according to the National Association of Home Builders' (NAHB) 55+ Housing Market Index (HMI).

However, that decline follows an all-time high reading of 71 in the fourth quarter of 2017.

"Builders and developers for the 55+ housing sector continue to report strong demand," says Chuck Ellison, chairman of NAHB's 55+ Housing Industry Council and vice president-land of Miller & Smith in McLean, Va. "However, there are many places around the country facing labor and lot shortages, along with increased building materials costs, which are affecting production."

There are separate 55+ HMIs for two segments of the 55+ housing market: single-family homes and multifamily condominiums. Each 55+ HMI measures builder sentiment based on a survey that asks if current sales, prospective buyer traffic and anticipated six-month sales for that market are good, fair or poor (high, average or low for traffic).

Single-family 55+ sales
When compared to the previous quarter, among the three single-family components of the 55+ HMI, present sales fell nine points to 70, expected sales for the next six months rose seven points to 80 and traffic of prospective buyers stayed even at 51

Condo 55+ sales
Meanwhile, the 55+ multifamily condo HMI increased 10 points to 64, which is the highest reading since the inception of the index in 2008. All three components posted record highs as well: Present sales rose eight points to 67, expected sales for the next six months increased 10 points to 70 and traffic of prospective buyers jumped 15 points to 55.

55+ multifamily rentals market
Three of the four components of the 55+ multifamily rental market went down from the previous quarter: Present production declined three points to 59, expected future production fell four points to 57 and present demand for existing units decreased three points to 68, and future expected demand edged up one point to 68.

"The decline in the 55+ single-family HMI is consistent with slight softening of other measures of single-family construction seen recently, likely due to winter weather effects, which may be affecting housing activity in some areas of the country," says NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.

"However, market conditions overall remain favorable, and we expect gradual continued growth in the 55+ housing sector," he adds.

© 2018 Florida Realtors®. All rights reserved. Reprinted with permission.  


Toby Tobin: REALTOR®, SRES®

I am a REALTOR® licensed by the State of Florida and Seniors Real Estate Specialist, SRES®, with Grand Living Realty, where 'The GoToby Team'  helps fellow aged 50+ buyers and sellers achieve improved outcomes in real estate transactions by integrating real estate decisions with other age-related decisions/plans through my broad network of respected service providers; financial, wills, trusts, probate, insurance, healthcare, home services, recreation, lifestyle, estate planning, and adult living facilities.

Take advantage of my "Been there. Done that." experience, typically at no additional cost to you. Call me at (386) 931-7124 or email me at Toby@GoToby.com.

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Don "Toby" Tobin is a licensed real estate professional affiliated with Grand Living Realty. Toby is a member of the Flagler County Association of Realtors®, the Florida Association of Realtors, Enterprise Flagler, Flagler Home Builders Association, and the National Association of Realtors.

GoToby.com proivdes real estate news, commentary, and analysis for Palm Coast and Flagler Country Florida, as well as Realtor® referrals and consultation to buyers, sellers, and developers.